🇺🇾 Uruguay 1–0 Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇺🇾 Uruguay value €373M · value #9 · Elo #11
Luis Suárez €70M Edinson Cavani €60M José María Giménez €45M 1–0 Uruguay win
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia value €19M · value #31 · Elo #32
Yasser Al-Shahrani €2M Mohammed Al-Breik €1M Motaz Hawsawi €1M Goals
Uruguay ▲ Saudi Arabia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Luis Suárez 23' 23 Suárez
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇺🇾 Uruguay
Fernando Muslera · GK 1 Muslera José Giménez · CB 2 Giménez Martín Cáceres · LB 22 Cáceres Diego Godín · CB 3 Godín Guillermo Varela · RB 4 Varela Matías Vecino · CM 15 Vecino Carlos Sánchez · RM 5 Sánchez Rodrigo Bentancur · CM 6 Bentancur Cristian Rodríguez · LM 7 Rodríguez Edinson Cavani · CF 21 Cavani Luis Suárez · CF 9 Suárez 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
Mohammed Al-Owais · GK 22 Al-Owais Yasser Al-Shahrani · LB 13 Al-Shahrani Osama Hawsawi · CB 3 Hawsawi Ali Al-Bulaihi · CB 4 Al-Bulaihi Mohammed Al-Breik · RB 6 Al-Breik Abdullah Otayf · DM 14 Otayf Taisir Al-Jassim · CM 17 Al-Jassim Salman Al-Faraj · CM 7 Al-Faraj Salem Al-Dawsari · LW 18 Al-Dawsari Fahad Al-Muwallad · CF 19 Al-Muwallad Hattan Bahebri · RW 9 Bahebri Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇺🇾 Uruguay 80.4% draw 15.2% 4.4% Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
Model P(result)
80.4%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#456
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.32
−log₂ P(observed)
Uruguay's run W 🇪🇬 1–0 Egypt, Group W 🇸🇦 1–0 Saudi Arabia, Group W 🇷🇺 3–0 Russia, Group W 🇵🇹 2–1 Portugal, Round of 16 L 🇫🇷 0–2 France, Quarter-final Saudi Arabia's run L 🇷🇺 0–5 Russia, Group L 🇺🇾 0–1 Uruguay, Group W 🇪🇬 2–1 Egypt, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup