🇺🇾 Uruguay 1–0 Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €373M · value #9 · Elo #11

1–0Uruguay win

value €19M · value #31 · Elo #32

Model P(result)

80.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.32

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

346

1904 vs 1558

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup