🇷🇺 Russia 3–1 Egypt 🇪🇬

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €162M · value #18 · Elo #28

3–1Russia win

value €197M · value #17 · Elo #31

Model P(result)

48.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.05

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1707 vs 1628

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup