🇺🇾 Uruguay 1–0 Egypt 🇪🇬

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €373M · value #9 · Elo #11

1–0Uruguay win

value €197M · value #17 · Elo #31

Model P(result)

71.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.48

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

254

1893 vs 1639

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup