🇺🇾 Uruguay 1–0 Egypt 🇪🇬
2018 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇺🇾 Uruguay value €373M · value #9 · Elo #11
Luis Suárez €70M Edinson Cavani €60M José María Giménez €45M 1–0 Uruguay win
🇪🇬 Egypt value €197M · value #17 · Elo #31
Mohamed Salah €150M Mohamed Elneny €10M Ramadan Sobhi €7M Goals
Uruguay ▲ Egypt ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' José Giménez 89' 89 Giménez
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇺🇾 Uruguay
Fernando Muslera · GK 1 Muslera José Giménez · CB 2 Giménez Martín Cáceres · LB 22 Cáceres Diego Godín · CB 3 Godín Guillermo Varela · RB 4 Varela Giorgian De Arrascaeta · LM 10 Arrascaeta Matías Vecino · CM 15 Vecino Rodrigo Bentancur · CM 6 Bentancur Nahitan Nández · RM 8 Nández Edinson Cavani · CF 21 Cavani Luis Suárez · CF 9 Suárez 🇪🇬 Egypt
Mohamed El Shenawy · GK 23 Shenawy Mohamed Abdel Shafy · LB 13 Shafy Ali Gabr · CB 2 Gabr Ahmed Hegazi · CB 6 Hegazi Ahmed Fathy · RB 7 Fathy Mohamed Elneny · CM 17 Elneny Abdallah Said · AM 19 Said Tarek Hamed · CM 8 Hamed Trézéguet · LW 21 Trézéguet Amr Warda · RW 22 Warda Marwan Mohsen · CF 9 Mohsen Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇺🇾 Uruguay 71.5% draw 19.4% 9.1% Egypt 🇪🇬
Model P(result)
71.5%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#403
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.48
−log₂ P(observed)
Uruguay's run W 🇪🇬 1–0 Egypt, Group W 🇸🇦 1–0 Saudi Arabia, Group W 🇷🇺 3–0 Russia, Group W 🇵🇹 2–1 Portugal, Round of 16 L 🇫🇷 0–2 France, Quarter-final Egypt's run L 🇺🇾 0–1 Uruguay, Group L 🇷🇺 1–3 Russia, Group L 🇸🇦 1–2 Saudi Arabia, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.