🇹🇳 Tunisia 2–1 Panama 🇵🇦

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €59M · value #26 · Elo #30

2–1Tunisia win

value €8M · value #32 · Elo #29

Model P(result)

37.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.43

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1627 vs 1622

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup