🇧🇪 Belgium 3–0 Panama 🇵🇦

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €754M · value #6 · Elo #8

3–0Belgium win

value €8M · value #32 · Elo #29

Model P(result)

74.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.43

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

278

1935 vs 1657

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup