🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 6–1 Panama 🇵🇦

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €874M · value #5 · Elo #7

6–1England win

value €8M · value #32 · Elo #29

Model P(result)

77.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.36

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

317

1956 vs 1639

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup