🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 2–1 Tunisia 🇹🇳

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €874M · value #5 · Elo #7

2–1England win

value €59M · value #26 · Elo #30

Model P(result)

75.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.40

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

296

1947 vs 1651

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup