🇫🇷 France 3–1 Poland 🇵🇱
2022 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇫🇷 France value €1032M · value #3 · Elo #7
Kylian Mbappé €160M Aurélien Tchouaméni €80M Kingsley Coman €60M 3–1 France win
🇵🇱 Poland value €256M · value #16 · Elo #16
Robert Lewandowski €45M Piotr Zieliński €40M Matty Cash €22M
Goals
France ▲ Poland ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Olivier Giroud 44' 44 Giroud Kylian Mbappé 74' 74 Mbappé Kylian Mbappé 90+1' 91 Mbappé Robert Lewandowski 90+9' (pen) 99 Lewandowski
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇫🇷 France
Hugo Lloris · GK 1 Lloris Dayot Upamecano · CB 18 Upamecano Théo Hernandez · LB 22 Hernandez Raphaël Varane · CB 4 Varane Jules Koundé · RB 5 Koundé Adrien Rabiot · CM 14 Rabiot Antoine Griezmann · AM 7 Griezmann Aurélien Tchouaméni · CM 8 Tchouaméni Kylian Mbappé · LW 10 Mbappé Ousmane Dembélé · RW 11 Dembélé Olivier Giroud · CF 9 Giroud 🇵🇱 Poland
Wojciech Szczęsny · GK 1 Szczęsny Jakub Kiwior · CB 14 Kiwior Kamil Glik · CB 15 Glik Bartosz Bereszyński · LB 18 Bereszyński Matty Cash · RB 2 Cash Grzegorz Krychowiak · DM 10 Krychowiak Sebastian Szymański · CM 19 Szymański Piotr Zieliński · CM 20 Zieliński Jakub Kamiński · RW 13 Kamiński Przemysław Frankowski · LW 24 Frankowski Robert Lewandowski · CF 9 Lewandowski
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇫🇷 France 60.6% draw 23.3% 16.1% Poland 🇵🇱
Model P(result)
60.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#332
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.72
−log₂ P(observed)
France's run W 🇦🇺 4–1 Australia, Group W 🇩🇰 2–1 Denmark, Group L 🇹🇳 0–1 Tunisia, Group W 🇵🇱 3–1 Poland, Round of 16 W 🏴 2–1 England, Quarter-final W 🇲🇦 2–0 Morocco, Semi-final D 🇦🇷 3–3 Argentina, Final
Poland's run D 🇲🇽 0–0 Mexico, Group W 🇸🇦 2–0 Saudi Arabia, Group L 🇦🇷 0–2 Argentina, Group L 🇫🇷 1–3 France, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.