🇫🇷 France 2–1 England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

2022 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1032M · value #3 · Elo #7

2–1France win

value €1260M · value #1 · Elo #12

Model P(result)

39.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.33

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2017 vs 1994

Stage

Quarter-final

2022 World Cup