🇩🇪 Germany 1–1 Spain 🇪🇸

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €886M · value #5 · Elo #9

1–1draw

value €877M · value #6 · Elo #3

Model P(result)

23.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.07

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

151

1918 vs 2069

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup