🇲🇦 Morocco 1–0 Portugal 🇵🇹

2022 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €241M · value #17 · Elo #24

1–0Morocco win

value €937M · value #4 · Elo #6

Model P(result)

16.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.59

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

161

1880 vs 2041

Stage

Quarter-final

2022 World Cup