🇵🇹 Portugal 2–0 Uruguay 🇺🇾

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €937M · value #4 · Elo #6

2–0Portugal win

value €450M · value #10 · Elo #10

Model P(result)

49.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.02

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2009 vs 1923

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup