🇲🇦 Morocco 0–0 Spain 🇪🇸

2022 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €241M · value #17 · Elo #24

0–0draw

value €877M · value #6 · Elo #3

Model P(result)

24.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.04

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

139

1869 vs 2008

Stage

Round of 16

2022 World Cup