🇵🇹 Portugal 3–2 Ghana 🇬🇭

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €937M · value #4 · Elo #6

3–2Portugal win

value €217M · value #19 · Elo #32

Model P(result)

87.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.20

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

441

2005 vs 1564

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup