🇭🇷 Croatia 2–1 Morocco 🇲🇦

2022 World Cup · Third place. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €377M · value #11 · Elo #11

2–1Croatia win

value €241M · value #17 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

40.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.29

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1923 vs 1893

Stage

Third place

2022 World Cup