🇭🇷 Croatia 2–1 Morocco 🇲🇦
2022 World Cup · Third place. tournament · tables
🇭🇷 Croatia value €377M · value #11 · Elo #11
Joško Gvardiol €60M Mateo Kovačić €40M Marcelo Brozović €35M 2–1 Croatia win
🇲🇦 Morocco value €241M · value #17 · Elo #24
Achraf Hakimi €65M Noussair Mazraoui €25M Nayef Aguerd €25M Goals
Croatia ▲ Morocco ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Joško Gvardiol 7' 7 Gvardiol Mislav Oršić 42' 42 Oršić Achraf Dari 9' 9 Dari
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇭🇷 Croatia
Dominik Livaković · GK 1 Livaković Josip Stanišić · RB 2 Stanišić Joško Gvardiol · CB 20 Gvardiol Josip Šutalo · CB 24 Šutalo Ivan Perišić · LB 4 Perišić Luka Modrić · CM 10 Modrić Mateo Kovačić · CM 8 Kovačić Andrej Kramarić · AM 9 Kramarić Marko Livaja · CF 14 Livaja Mislav Oršić · LW 18 Oršić Lovro Majer · RW 7 Majer 🇲🇦 Morocco
Yassine Bounou · GK 1 Bounou Jawad El Yamiq · CB 18 Yamiq Achraf Hakimi · RB 2 Hakimi Achraf Dari · CB 20 Dari Yahia Attiyat Allah · LB 25 Allah Abdelhamid Sabiri · CM 11 Sabiri Sofiane Boufal · LF 17 Boufal Bilal El Khannous · CM 23 Khannous Sofyan Amrabat · DM 4 Amrabat Hakim Ziyech · RF 7 Ziyech Youssef En-Nesyri · CF 19 En-Nesyri Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇭🇷 Croatia 40.8% draw 26.9% 32.3% Morocco 🇲🇦
Model P(result)
40.9%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#226
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.29
−log₂ P(observed)
Croatia's run D 🇲🇦 0–0 Morocco, Group W 🇨🇦 4–1 Canada, Group D 🇧🇪 0–0 Belgium, Group D 🇯🇵 1–1 Japan, Round of 16 D 🇧🇷 1–1 Brazil, Quarter-final L 🇦🇷 0–3 Argentina, Semi-final W 🇲🇦 2–1 Morocco, Third place Morocco's run D 🇭🇷 0–0 Croatia, Group W 🇧🇪 2–0 Belgium, Group W 🇨🇦 2–1 Canada, Group D 🇪🇸 0–0 Spain, Round of 16 W 🇵🇹 1–0 Portugal, Quarter-final L 🇫🇷 0–2 France, Semi-final L 🇭🇷 1–2 Croatia, Third place
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.