🇲🇦 Morocco 3–0 Canada 🇨🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Round of 16. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €448M · value #14 · Elo #22

3–0Morocco win

value €199M · value #26 · Elo #23

Model P(result)

54.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.88

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

122

1886 vs 1764

Stage

Round of 16

2026 World Cup