🇨🇦 Canada 1–0 South Africa 🇿🇦 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 32. tournament · tables
🇨🇦 Canada value €199M · value #26 · Elo #23
Alphonso Davies €40M Jonathan David €30M Ismaël Koné €25M 1–0 Canada win
🇿🇦 South Africa value €49M · value #40 · Elo #45
Lyle Foster €8M Mbekezeli Mbokazi €4M Relebohile Mofokeng €3M Goals
Canada ▲ South Africa ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Stephen Eustáquio 90+2' 92 Eustáquio
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇨🇦 Canada
Maxime Crépeau · GK 16 Crépeau Derek Cornelius · CB 13 Cornelius Moïse Bombito · CB 15 Bombito Alistair Johnston · RB 2 Johnston Richie Laryea · LB 22 Laryea Liam Millar · LM 11 Millar Tajon Buchanan · RM 17 Buchanan Nathan Saliba · CM 25 Saliba Stephen Eustáquio · CM 7 Eustáquio Jonathan David · CF 10 David Tani Oluwaseyi · CF 12 Oluwaseyi 🇿🇦 South Africa
Ronwen Williams · GK 1 Williams Mbekezeli Mbokazi · CB 14 Mbokazi Khuliso Mudau · RB 20 Mudau Ime Okon · CB 21 Okon Aubrey Modiba · LB 6 Modiba Relebohile Mofokeng · AM 10 Mofokeng Sphephelo Sithole · CM 13 Sithole Teboho Mokoena · CM 4 Mokoena Thapelo Maseko · RW 12 Maseko Evidence Makgopa · CF 17 Makgopa Oswin Appollis · LW 7 Appollis Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇨🇦 Canada 61.5% draw 23.0% 15.5% South Africa 🇿🇦
Model P(result)
61.5%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#339
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.70
−log₂ P(observed)
Canada's run D 🇧🇦 1–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Group W 🇶🇦 6–0 Qatar, Group L 🇨🇭 1–2 Switzerland, Group W 🇿🇦 1–0 South Africa, Round of 32 L 🇲🇦 0–3 Morocco, Round of 16 South Africa's run L 🇲🇽 0–2 Mexico, Group D 🇨🇿 1–1 Czech Republic, Group W 🇰🇷 1–0 South Korea, Group L 🇨🇦 0–1 Canada, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.