🏴 Scotland 1–0 Haiti 🇭🇹 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🏴 Scotland value €170M · value #29 · Elo #24
Scott McTominay €40M Aaron Hickey €16M Ben Gannon-Doak €15M 1–0 Scotland win
🇭🇹 Haiti value €56M · value #38 · Elo #44
Wilson Isidor €18M Jean-Ricner Bellegarde €16M Danley Jean Jacques €3M Goals
Scotland ▲ Haiti ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' John McGinn 28' 28 McGinn
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🏴 Scotland
Angus Gunn · GK 1 Gunn Jack Hendry · CB 13 Hendry Aaron Hickey · RB 2 Hickey Andy Robertson · LB 3 Robertson Grant Hanley · CB 5 Hanley Ben Gannon-Doak · RM 17 Gannon-Doak Lewis Ferguson · CM 19 Ferguson Scott McTominay · CM 4 McTominay John McGinn · LM 7 McGinn Ché Adams · CF 10 Adams Lawrence Shankland · CF 20 Shankland 🇭🇹 Haiti
Johny Placide · GK 1 Placide Carlens Arcus · RB 2 Arcus Ricardo Adé · CB 4 Adé Hannes Delcroix · CB 5 Delcroix Martin Expérience · LB 8 Expérience Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · CM 10 Bellegarde Louicius Deedson · RM 11 Deedson Ruben Providence · LM 15 Providence Danley Jean Jacques · CM 17 Jacques Wilson Isidor · CF 18 Isidor Frantzdy Pierrot · CF 20 Pierrot Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🏴 Scotland 69.2% draw 20.3% 10.5% Haiti 🇭🇹
Model P(result)
69.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#395
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.53
−log₂ P(observed)
Scotland's run W 🇭🇹 1–0 Haiti, Group L 🇲🇦 0–1 Morocco, Group L 🇧🇷 0–3 Brazil, Group Haiti's run L 🏴 0–1 Scotland, Group L 🇧🇷 0–3 Brazil, Group L 🇲🇦 2–4 Morocco, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.