🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland 1–0 Haiti 🇭🇹 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €170M · value #29 · Elo #24

1–0Scotland win

value €56M · value #38 · Elo #44

Model P(result)

69.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.53

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

234

1782 vs 1548

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup