🇧🇷 Brazil 3–0 Haiti 🇭🇹 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €928M · value #6 · Elo #5

3–0Brazil win

value €56M · value #38 · Elo #44

Model P(result)

87.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.20

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

442

1978 vs 1536

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup