🇧🇷 Brazil 3–0 Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €928M · value #6 · Elo #5

3–0Brazil win

value €170M · value #29 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

67.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.57

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

218

1986 vs 1768

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup