🇲🇦 Morocco 1–0 Scotland 🏴 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇲🇦 Morocco value €448M · value #14 · Elo #22
Achraf Hakimi €80M Ayyoub Bouaddi €50M Ismael Saibari €40M 1–0 Morocco win
🏴 Scotland value €170M · value #29 · Elo #24
Scott McTominay €40M Aaron Hickey €16M Ben Gannon-Doak €15M Goals
Morocco ▲ Scotland ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Ismael Saibari 2' 2 Saibari
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇲🇦 Morocco
Yassine Bounou · GK 1 Bounou Issa Diop · CB 14 Diop Chadi Riad · CB 18 Riad Achraf Hakimi · RB 2 Hakimi Noussair Mazraoui · LB 3 Mazraoui Neil El Aynaoui · CM 24 Aynaoui Ayyoub Bouaddi · CM 6 Bouaddi Azzedine Ounahi · AM 8 Ounahi Brahim Díaz · RW 10 Díaz Ismael Saibari · CF 11 Saibari Bilal El Khannouss · LW 23 Khannouss 🏴 Scotland
Angus Gunn · GK 1 Gunn Jack Hendry · CB 13 Hendry Nathan Patterson · RB 22 Patterson Andy Robertson · LB 3 Robertson Grant Hanley · CB 5 Hanley Ryan Christie · CM 11 Christie Lewis Ferguson · CM 19 Ferguson Kieran Tierney · LM 6 Tierney John McGinn · RM 7 McGinn Ché Adams · CF 10 Adams Scott McTominay · CF 4 McTominay Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇦 Morocco 43.2% draw 26.7% 30.1% Scotland 🏴
Model P(result)
43.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#238
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.21
−log₂ P(observed)
Morocco's run D 🇧🇷 1–1 Brazil, Group W 🏴 1–0 Scotland, Group W 🇭🇹 4–2 Haiti, Group D 🇳🇱 1–1 Netherlands, Round of 32 W 🇨🇦 3–0 Canada, Round of 16 L 🇫🇷 0–2 France, Quarter-final Scotland's run W 🇭🇹 1–0 Haiti, Group L 🇲🇦 0–1 Morocco, Group L 🇧🇷 0–3 Brazil, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.