🇲🇦 Morocco 1–0 Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €448M · value #14 · Elo #22

1–0Morocco win

value €170M · value #29 · Elo #24

Model P(result)

43.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.21

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1840 vs 1794

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup