🇲🇦 Morocco 4–2 Haiti 🇭🇹 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €448M · value #14 · Elo #22

4–2Morocco win

value €56M · value #38 · Elo #44

Model P(result)

79.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.33

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

338

1866 vs 1528

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup