🇨🇿 Czech Republic 1–1 South Africa 🇿🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €188M · value #28 · Elo #29

1–1draw

value €49M · value #40 · Elo #45

Model P(result)

21.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.20

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

201

1712 vs 1511

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup