🇿🇦 South Africa 1–0 South Korea 🇰🇷 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €49M · value #40 · Elo #45

1–0South Africa win

value €139M · value #33 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

9.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

3.35

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

244

1527 vs 1771

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup