🇲🇽 Mexico 2–0 South Africa 🇿🇦 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇲🇽 Mexico value €192M · value #27 · Elo #18
Santiago Giménez €18M Edson Álvarez €15M Armando González €15M 2–0 Mexico win
🇿🇦 South Africa value €49M · value #40 · Elo #45
Lyle Foster €8M Mbekezeli Mbokazi €4M Relebohile Mofokeng €3M Goals
Mexico ▲ South Africa ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Julián Quiñones 9' 9 Quiñones Raúl Jiménez 67' 67 Jiménez
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇲🇽 Mexico
Raúl Rangel · GK 1 Rangel Israel Reyes · RB 15 Reyes Jesús Gallardo · LB 23 Gallardo César Montes · CB 3 Montes Johan Vásquez · CB 5 Vásquez Julián Quiñones · LF 16 Quiñones Roberto Alvarado · RF 25 Alvarado Brian Gutiérrez · CM 26 Gutiérrez Érik Lira · DM 6 Lira Álvaro Fidalgo · CM 8 Fidalgo Raúl Jiménez · CF 9 Jiménez 🇿🇦 South Africa
Ronwen Williams · GK 1 Williams Mbekezeli Mbokazi · CB 14 Mbokazi Nkosinathi Sibisi · CB 19 Sibisi Khuliso Mudau · RWB 20 Mudau Ime Okon · CB 21 Okon Aubrey Modiba · LWB 6 Modiba Sphephelo Sithole · CM 13 Sithole Jayden Adams · CM 23 Adams Teboho Mokoena · CM 4 Mokoena Iqraam Rayners · CF 15 Rayners Lyle Foster · CF 9 Foster Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇽 Mexico 81.3% draw 14.7% 4.0% South Africa 🇿🇦
Model P(result)
81.4%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#460
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.30
−log₂ P(observed)
Mexico's run W 🇿🇦 2–0 South Africa, Group W 🇰🇷 1–0 South Korea, Group W 🇨🇿 3–0 Czech Republic, Group W 🇪🇨 2–0 Ecuador, Round of 32 L 🏴 2–3 England, Round of 16 South Africa's run L 🇲🇽 0–2 Mexico, Group D 🇨🇿 1–1 Czech Republic, Group W 🇰🇷 1–0 South Korea, Group L 🇨🇦 0–1 Canada, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup