🇲🇽 Mexico 3–0 Czech Republic 🇨🇿 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €192M · value #27 · Elo #18

3–0Mexico win

value €188M · value #28 · Elo #29

Model P(result)

65.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.62

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

200

1896 vs 1696

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup