🇩🇪 Germany 1–1 Paraguay 🇵🇾 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 32. tournament · tables
🇩🇪 Germany value €947M · value #5 · Elo #10
Jamal Musiala €100M Florian Wirtz €100M Aleksandar Pavlović €90M 1–1 draw
🇵🇾 Paraguay value €154M · value #30 · Elo #20
Julio Enciso €25M Diego Gómez €25M Maurício €15M Goals
Germany ▲ Paraguay ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Kai Havertz 54' 54 Havertz Julio Enciso 42' 42 Enciso
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇩🇪 Germany
Manuel Neuer · GK 1 Neuer Nathaniel Brown · LB 18 Brown Antonio Rüdiger · CB 2 Rüdiger Jonathan Tah · CB 4 Tah Joshua Kimmich · RB 6 Kimmich Felix Nmecha · CM 23 Nmecha Aleksandar Pavlović · CM 5 Pavlović Kai Havertz · AM 7 Havertz Florian Wirtz · LW 17 Wirtz Leroy Sané · RW 19 Sané Deniz Undav · CF 26 Undav 🇵🇾 Paraguay
Orlando Gill · GK 12 Gill José Canale · CB 13 Canale Gustavo Gómez · CB 15 Gómez Juan José Cáceres · RB 4 Cáceres Júnior Alonso · LB 6 Alonso Miguel Almirón · RM 10 Almirón Andrés Cubas · CM 14 Cubas Damián Bobadilla · CM 16 Bobadilla Matías Galarza · LM 23 Galarza Julio Enciso · CF 19 Enciso Gabriel Ávalos · CF 21 Ávalos Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇩🇪 Germany 51.4% draw 25.5% 23.1% Paraguay 🇵🇾
Model P(result)
25.5%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#123
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.97
−log₂ P(observed)
Germany's run W 🇨🇼 7–1 Curaçao, Group W 🇨🇮 2–1 Ivory Coast, Group L 🇪🇨 1–2 Ecuador, Group D 🇵🇾 1–1 Paraguay, Round of 32 Paraguay's run L 🇺🇸 1–4 United States, Group W 🇹🇷 1–0 Turkey, Group D 🇦🇺 0–0 Australia, Group D 🇩🇪 1–1 Germany, Round of 32 L 🇫🇷 0–1 France, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup