🇫🇷 France 1–0 Paraguay 🇵🇾 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇫🇷 France value €1523M · value #1 · Elo #3
Kylian Mbappé €180M Michael Olise €150M Désiré Doué €120M 1–0 France win
🇵🇾 Paraguay value €154M · value #30 · Elo #20
Julio Enciso €25M Diego Gómez €25M Maurício €15M Goals
France ▲ Paraguay ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Kylian Mbappé 70' (pen) 70 Mbappé
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇫🇷 France
Mike Maignan · GK 16 Maignan William Saliba · CB 17 Saliba Lucas Digne · LB 3 Digne Dayot Upamecano · CB 4 Upamecano Jules Koundé · RB 5 Koundé Michael Olise · AM 11 Olise Adrien Rabiot · CM 14 Rabiot Manu Koné · CM 6 Koné Kylian Mbappé · CF 10 Mbappé Bradley Barcola · LW 12 Barcola Ousmane Dembélé · RW 7 Dembélé 🇵🇾 Paraguay
Orlando Gill · GK 12 Gill Gustavo Gómez · CB 15 Gómez Gustavo Velázquez · CB 2 Velázquez Omar Alderete · CB 3 Alderete Juan José Cáceres · RWB 4 Cáceres Júnior Alonso · LWB 6 Alonso Miguel Almirón · RM 10 Almirón Andrés Cubas · CM 14 Cubas Matías Galarza · LM 23 Galarza Diego Gómez · CM 8 Gómez Julio Enciso · CF 19 Enciso Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇫🇷 France 77.3% draw 16.8% 5.9% Paraguay 🇵🇾
Model P(result)
77.3%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#435
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.37
−log₂ P(observed)
France's run W 🇸🇳 3–1 Senegal, Group W 🇮🇶 3–0 Iraq, Group W 🇳🇴 4–1 Norway, Group W 🇸🇪 3–0 Sweden, Round of 32 W 🇵🇾 1–0 Paraguay, Round of 16 W 🇲🇦 2–0 Morocco, Quarter-final L 🇪🇸 0–2 Spain, Semi-final L 🏴 4–6 England, Third place Paraguay's run L 🇺🇸 1–4 United States, Group W 🇹🇷 1–0 Turkey, Group D 🇦🇺 0–0 Australia, Group D 🇩🇪 1–1 Germany, Round of 32 L 🇫🇷 0–1 France, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.