🇲🇽 Mexico 1–0 South Korea 🇰🇷 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €192M · value #27 · Elo #18

1–0Mexico win

value €139M · value #33 · Elo #28

Model P(result)

50.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.99

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1881 vs 1786

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup