🇳🇱 Netherlands 3–1 Tunisia 🇹🇳 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇳🇱 Netherlands value €754M · value #8 · Elo #8
Ryan Gravenberch €80M Cody Gakpo €60M Tijjani Reijnders €50M 3–1 Netherlands win
🇹🇳 Tunisia value €70M · value #37 · Elo #38
Hannibal Mejbri €15M Montassar Talbi €8M Ellyes Skhiri €5M Goals
Netherlands ▲ Tunisia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Ellyes Skhiri 3' (o.g.) 3 Skhiri Brian Brobbey 7' 7 Brobbey Jan Paul van Hecke 62' 62 Hecke Hazem Mastouri 54' 54 Mastouri
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇳🇱 Netherlands
Bart Verbruggen · GK 1 Verbruggen Denzel Dumfries · RB 22 Dumfries Virgil van Dijk · CB 4 Dijk Nathan Aké · LB 5 Aké Jan Paul van Hecke · CB 6 Hecke Cody Gakpo · LF 11 Gakpo Tijjani Reijnders · CM 14 Reijnders Donyell Malen · RF 18 Malen Frenkie de Jong · DM 21 Jong Ryan Gravenberch · CM 8 Gravenberch Brian Brobbey · CF 19 Brobbey 🇹🇳 Tunisia
Aymen Dahmen · GK 16 Dahmen Ellyes Skhiri · CB 17 Skhiri Ali Abdi · LWB 2 Abdi Yan Valery · RWB 20 Valery Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida · CB 21 Hamida Montassar Talbi · CB 3 Talbi Hannibal Mejbri · LM 10 Mejbri Ismaël Gharbi · CM 11 Gharbi Rani Khedira · CM 13 Khedira Anis Ben Slimane · RM 25 Slimane Hazem Mastouri · CF 9 Mastouri Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇳🇱 Netherlands 84.5% draw 12.9% 2.6% Tunisia 🇹🇳
Model P(result)
84.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#469
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.24
−log₂ P(observed)
Netherlands's run D 🇯🇵 2–2 Japan, Group W 🇸🇪 5–1 Sweden, Group W 🇹🇳 3–1 Tunisia, Group D 🇲🇦 1–1 Morocco, Round of 32 Tunisia's run L 🇸🇪 1–5 Sweden, Group L 🇯🇵 0–4 Japan, Group L 🇳🇱 1–3 Netherlands, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.