🇳🇱 Netherlands 5–1 Sweden 🇸🇪 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇳🇱 Netherlands value €754M · value #8 · Elo #8
Ryan Gravenberch €80M Cody Gakpo €60M Tijjani Reijnders €50M 5–1 Netherlands win
🇸🇪 Sweden value €409M · value #15 · Elo #33
Alexander Isak €85M Viktor Gyökeres €65M Yasin Ayari €35M Goals
Netherlands ▲ Sweden ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Brian Brobbey 5' 5 Brobbey Brian Brobbey 17' 17 Brobbey Cody Gakpo 47' 47 Gakpo Cody Gakpo 54' 54 Gakpo Crysencio Summerville 89' 89 Summerville Anthony Elanga 59' 59 Elanga
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇳🇱 Netherlands
Bart Verbruggen · GK 1 Verbruggen Micky van de Ven · LB 15 Ven Denzel Dumfries · RB 22 Dumfries Virgil van Dijk · CB 4 Dijk Jan Paul van Hecke · CB 6 Hecke Cody Gakpo · LF 11 Gakpo Tijjani Reijnders · CM 14 Reijnders Donyell Malen · RF 18 Malen Frenkie de Jong · CM 21 Jong Ryan Gravenberch · CM 8 Gravenberch Brian Brobbey · CF 19 Brobbey 🇸🇪 Sweden
Kristoffer Nordfeldt · GK 23 Nordfeldt Gustaf Lagerbielke · CB 2 Lagerbielke Victor Lindelöf · CB 3 Lindelöf Isak Hien · CB 4 Hien Benjamin Nygren · CM 10 Nygren Jesper Karlström · CM 16 Karlström Yasin Ayari · CM 18 Ayari Alexander Bernhardsson · RM 21 Bernhardsson Gabriel Gudmundsson · LM 5 Gudmundsson Viktor Gyökeres · CF 17 Gyökeres Alexander Isak · CF 9 Isak Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇳🇱 Netherlands 63.7% draw 22.3% 14.0% Sweden 🇸🇪
Model P(result)
63.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#349
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.65
−log₂ P(observed)
Netherlands's run D 🇯🇵 2–2 Japan, Group W 🇸🇪 5–1 Sweden, Group W 🇹🇳 3–1 Tunisia, Group D 🇲🇦 1–1 Morocco, Round of 32 Sweden's run W 🇹🇳 5–1 Tunisia, Group L 🇳🇱 1–5 Netherlands, Group D 🇯🇵 1–1 Japan, Group L 🇫🇷 0–3 France, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.