🇯🇵 Japan 2–2 Netherlands 🇳🇱 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇯🇵 Japan value €271M · value #22 · Elo #14
Kaishū Sano €40M Yuito Suzuki €24M Takefusa Kubo €20M 2–2 draw
🇳🇱 Netherlands value €754M · value #8 · Elo #8
Ryan Gravenberch €80M Cody Gakpo €60M Tijjani Reijnders €50M Goals
Japan ▲ Netherlands ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Keito Nakamura 57' 57 Nakamura Daichi Kamada 88' 88 Kamada Virgil van Dijk 51' 51 Dijk Crysencio Summerville 64' 64 Summerville
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇯🇵 Japan
Zion Suzuki · GK 1 Suzuki Tsuyoshi Watanabe · CB 16 Watanabe Hiroki Itō · CB 21 Itō Shōgo Taniguchi · CB 3 Taniguchi Ritsu Dōan · RM 10 Dōan Daizen Maeda · LF 11 Maeda Keito Nakamura · LM 13 Nakamura Daichi Kamada · CM 15 Kamada Kaishū Sano · CM 24 Sano Takefusa Kubo · RF 8 Kubo Ayase Ueda · CF 18 Ueda 🇳🇱 Netherlands
Bart Verbruggen · GK 1 Verbruggen Micky van de Ven · LB 15 Ven Denzel Dumfries · RB 22 Dumfries Virgil van Dijk · CB 4 Dijk Jan Paul van Hecke · CB 6 Hecke Cody Gakpo · LF 11 Gakpo Tijjani Reijnders · CM 14 Reijnders Frenkie de Jong · DM 21 Jong Crysencio Summerville · RF 24 Summerville Ryan Gravenberch · CM 8 Gravenberch Donyell Malen · CF 18 Malen Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇯🇵 Japan 30.6% draw 26.7% 42.7% Netherlands 🇳🇱
Model P(result)
26.7%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#143
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.90
−log₂ P(observed)
Japan's run D 🇳🇱 2–2 Netherlands, Group W 🇹🇳 4–0 Tunisia, Group D 🇸🇪 1–1 Sweden, Group L 🇧🇷 1–2 Brazil, Round of 32 Netherlands's run D 🇯🇵 2–2 Japan, Group W 🇸🇪 5–1 Sweden, Group W 🇹🇳 3–1 Tunisia, Group D 🇲🇦 1–1 Morocco, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup