🇲🇦 Morocco 1–1 Netherlands 🇳🇱 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Round of 32. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €448M · value #14 · Elo #22

1–1draw

value €754M · value #8 · Elo #8

Model P(result)

25.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.97

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

103

1877 vs 1980

Stage

Round of 32

2026 World Cup