🇲🇦 Morocco 1–1 Netherlands 🇳🇱 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 32. tournament · tables
🇲🇦 Morocco value €448M · value #14 · Elo #22
Achraf Hakimi €80M Ayyoub Bouaddi €50M Ismael Saibari €40M 1–1 draw
🇳🇱 Netherlands value €754M · value #8 · Elo #8
Ryan Gravenberch €80M Cody Gakpo €60M Tijjani Reijnders €50M
Goals
Morocco ▲ Netherlands ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Issa Diop 90+1' 91 Diop Cody Gakpo 72' 72 Gakpo
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇲🇦 Morocco
Yassine Bounou · GK 1 Bounou Issa Diop · CB 14 Diop Chadi Riad · CB 18 Riad Achraf Hakimi · RB 2 Hakimi Noussair Mazraoui · LB 3 Mazraoui Neil El Aynaoui · CM 24 Aynaoui Ayyoub Bouaddi · CM 6 Bouaddi Azzedine Ounahi · AM 8 Ounahi Brahim Díaz · RW 10 Díaz Ismael Saibari · CF 11 Saibari Bilal El Khannouss · LW 23 Khannouss 🇳🇱 Netherlands
Bart Verbruggen · GK 1 Verbruggen Virgil van Dijk · CB 4 Dijk Nathan Aké · CB 5 Aké Jan Paul van Hecke · CB 6 Hecke Cody Gakpo · LF 11 Gakpo Micky van de Ven · LM 15 Ven Frenkie de Jong · CM 21 Jong Denzel Dumfries · RM 22 Dumfries Crysencio Summerville · RF 24 Summerville Ryan Gravenberch · CM 8 Gravenberch Brian Brobbey · CF 19 Brobbey
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇦 Morocco 22.9% draw 25.5% 51.6% Netherlands 🇳🇱
Model P(result)
25.5%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#120
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.97
−log₂ P(observed)
Morocco's run D 🇧🇷 1–1 Brazil, Group W 🏴 1–0 Scotland, Group W 🇭🇹 4–2 Haiti, Group D 🇳🇱 1–1 Netherlands, Round of 32 W 🇨🇦 3–0 Canada, Round of 16 L 🇫🇷 0–2 France, Quarter-final
Netherlands's run D 🇯🇵 2–2 Japan, Group W 🇸🇪 5–1 Sweden, Group W 🇹🇳 3–1 Tunisia, Group D 🇲🇦 1–1 Morocco, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.