🇵🇹 Portugal 2–1 Croatia 🇭🇷 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 32. tournament · tables
🇵🇹 Portugal value €1006M · value #4 · Elo #6
Vitinha €140M João Neves €140M Nuno Mendes €80M 2–1 Portugal win
🇭🇷 Croatia value €387M · value #16 · Elo #12
Joško Gvardiol €70M Luka Vušković €60M Josip Stanišić €40M Goals
Portugal ▲ Croatia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Cristiano Ronaldo 68' (pen) 68 Ronaldo Gonçalo Ramos 90+4' 94 Ramos Ivan Perišić 53' 53 Perišić
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇵🇹 Portugal
Diogo Costa · GK 1 Costa Renato Veiga · CB 13 Veiga João Cancelo · RB 20 Cancelo Nuno Mendes · LB 25 Mendes Rúben Dias · CB 3 Dias João Neves · CM 15 Neves Vitinha · CM 23 Vitinha Bruno Fernandes · AM 8 Fernandes Rafael Leão · LW 17 Leão Pedro Neto · RW 18 Neto Cristiano Ronaldo · CF 7 Ronaldo 🇭🇷 Croatia
Dominik Livaković · GK 1 Livaković Ivan Perišić · LB 14 Perišić Josip Stanišić · RB 2 Stanišić Marin Pongračić · CB 3 Pongračić Josip Šutalo · CB 6 Šutalo Luka Modrić · CM 10 Modrić Petar Sučić · AM 17 Sučić Mateo Kovačić · CM 8 Kovačić Ante Budimir · CF 11 Budimir Nikola Vlašić · RW 13 Vlašić Martin Baturina · LW 16 Baturina Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇵🇹 Portugal 49.1% draw 25.9% 25.0% Croatia 🇭🇷
Model P(result)
49.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#258
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.03
−log₂ P(observed)
Portugal's run D 🇨🇩 1–1 DR Congo, Group W 🇺🇿 5–0 Uzbekistan, Group D 🇨🇴 0–0 Colombia, Group W 🇭🇷 2–1 Croatia, Round of 32 L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Round of 16 Croatia's run L 🏴 2–4 England, Group W 🇵🇦 1–0 Panama, Group W 🇬🇭 2–1 Ghana, Group L 🇵🇹 1–2 Portugal, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.