🇪🇸 Spain 1–0 Portugal 🇵🇹 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇪🇸 Spain value €1223M · value #3 · Elo #1
Lamine Yamal €200M Pedri €150M Pau Cubarsí €80M 1–0 Spain win
🇵🇹 Portugal value €1006M · value #4 · Elo #6
Vitinha €140M João Neves €140M Nuno Mendes €80M Goals
Spain ▲ Portugal ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Mikel Merino 90+1' 91 Merino
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇪🇸 Spain
Unai Simón · GK 23 Simón Pedro Porro · RB 12 Porro Aymeric Laporte · CB 14 Laporte Pau Cubarsí · CB 22 Cubarsí Marc Cucurella · LB 24 Cucurella Dani Olmo · CM 10 Olmo Álex Baena · LF 15 Baena Rodri · DM 16 Rodri Lamine Yamal · RF 19 Yamal Pedri · CM 20 Pedri Mikel Oyarzabal · CF 21 Oyarzabal 🇵🇹 Portugal
Diogo Costa · GK 1 Costa Renato Veiga · CB 13 Veiga João Cancelo · RB 20 Cancelo Nuno Mendes · LB 25 Mendes Rúben Dias · CB 3 Dias João Neves · CM 15 Neves Vitinha · CM 23 Vitinha Bruno Fernandes · AM 8 Fernandes João Félix · LW 11 Félix Pedro Neto · RW 18 Neto Cristiano Ronaldo · CF 7 Ronaldo Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇪🇸 Spain 57.8% draw 24.1% 18.1% Portugal 🇵🇹
Model P(result)
57.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#313
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.79
−log₂ P(observed)
Spain's run D 🇨🇻 0–0 Cape Verde, Group W 🇸🇦 4–0 Saudi Arabia, Group W 🇺🇾 1–0 Uruguay, Group W 🇦🇹 3–0 Austria, Round of 32 W 🇵🇹 1–0 Portugal, Round of 16 W 🇧🇪 2–1 Belgium, Quarter-final W 🇫🇷 2–0 France, Semi-final Portugal's run D 🇨🇩 1–1 DR Congo, Group W 🇺🇿 5–0 Uzbekistan, Group D 🇨🇴 0–0 Colombia, Group W 🇭🇷 2–1 Croatia, Round of 32 L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup