🇭🇷 Croatia 1–0 Panama 🇵🇦 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇭🇷 Croatia value €387M · value #16 · Elo #12
Joško Gvardiol €70M Luka Vušković €60M Josip Stanišić €40M 1–0 Croatia win
🇵🇦 Panama value €35M · value #42 · Elo #30
Michael Amir Murillo €7M José Córdoba €5M Adalberto Carrasquilla €4M Goals
Croatia ▲ Panama ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Ante Budimir 54' 54 Budimir
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇭🇷 Croatia
Dominik Livaković · GK 1 Livaković Josip Stanišić · RB 2 Stanišić Marin Pongračić · CB 3 Pongračić Joško Gvardiol · LB 4 Gvardiol Josip Šutalo · CB 6 Šutalo Luka Modrić · CM 10 Modrić Martin Baturina · AM 16 Baturina Mateo Kovačić · CM 8 Kovačić Ivan Perišić · LW 14 Perišić Marco Pašalić · RW 24 Pašalić Petar Musa · CF 26 Musa 🇵🇦 Panama
Orlando Mosquera · GK 22 Mosquera Jiovany Ramos · CB 13 Ramos Andrés Andrade · CB 16 Andrade José Córdoba · CB 3 Córdoba Yoel Bárcenas · CM 11 Bárcenas Carlos Harvey · CM 14 Harvey César Blackman · LM 2 Blackman Michael Amir Murillo · RM 23 Murillo Cristian Martínez · RF 6 Martínez José Luis Rodríguez · LF 7 Rodríguez José Fajardo · CF 17 Fajardo Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇭🇷 Croatia 64.8% draw 21.9% 13.3% Panama 🇵🇦
Model P(result)
64.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#360
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.63
−log₂ P(observed)
Croatia's run L 🏴 2–4 England, Group W 🇵🇦 1–0 Panama, Group W 🇬🇭 2–1 Ghana, Group L 🇵🇹 1–2 Portugal, Round of 32 Panama's run L 🇬🇭 0–1 Ghana, Group L 🇭🇷 0–1 Croatia, Group L 🏴 0–2 England, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.