🇭🇷 Croatia 1–0 Panama 🇵🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €387M · value #16 · Elo #12

1–0Croatia win

value €35M · value #42 · Elo #30

Model P(result)

64.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.63

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

197

1880 vs 1683

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup