🇭🇷 Croatia 2–1 Ghana 🇬🇭 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €387M · value #16 · Elo #12

2–1Croatia win

value €234M · value #25 · Elo #46

Model P(result)

77.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.37

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

311

1895 vs 1584

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup