🇫🇷 France 1–0 Portugal 🇵🇹

2006 World Cup · Semi-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €270M · value #5 · Elo #5

1–0France win

value €234M · value #6 · Elo #9

Model P(result)

41.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.29

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2037 vs 2006

Stage

Semi-final

2006 World Cup