🇩🇪 Germany 3–1 Portugal 🇵🇹

2006 World Cup · Third place. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €181M · value #9 · Elo #10

3–1Germany win

value €234M · value #6 · Elo #9

Model P(result)

27.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.86

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1914 vs 1979

Stage

Third place

2006 World Cup