🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 2–2 Tunisia 🇹🇳

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €10M · value #32 · Elo #31

2–2draw

value €36M · value #23 · Elo #26

Model P(result)

23.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.06

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

149

1554 vs 1703

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup