🇺🇦 Ukraine 4–0 Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €78M · value #15 · Elo #20

4–0Ukraine win

value €10M · value #32 · Elo #31

Model P(result)

64.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.64

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

194

1760 vs 1566

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup