🇺🇦 Ukraine 1–0 Tunisia 🇹🇳

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €78M · value #15 · Elo #20

1–0Ukraine win

value €36M · value #23 · Elo #26

Model P(result)

52.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.92

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

110

1788 vs 1678

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup