🇪🇸 Spain 3–1 Tunisia 🇹🇳

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €329M · value #4 · Elo #6

3–1Spain win

value €36M · value #23 · Elo #26

Model P(result)

76.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.38

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

304

1995 vs 1691

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup