🇪🇸 Spain 1–0 Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €329M · value #4 · Elo #6

1–0Spain win

value €10M · value #32 · Elo #31

Model P(result)

88.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.18

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

470

2008 vs 1538

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup