🇧🇷 Brazil 1–0 Croatia 🇭🇷

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €365M · value #2 · Elo #1

1–0Brazil win

value €94M · value #14 · Elo #14

Model P(result)

64.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.63

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

198

2035 vs 1837

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup