🇧🇷 Brazil 2–1 Japan 🇯🇵 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 32. tournament · tables
🇧🇷 Brazil value €928M · value #6 · Elo #5
Vinícius Júnior €140M Gabriel Magalhães €75M Matheus Cunha €75M 2–1 Brazil win
🇯🇵 Japan value €271M · value #22 · Elo #14
Kaishū Sano €40M Yuito Suzuki €24M Takefusa Kubo €20M Goals
Brazil ▲ Japan ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Casemiro 56' 56 Casemiro Gabriel Martinelli 90+5' 95 Martinelli Kaishū Sano 29' 29 Sano
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇷 Brazil
Alisson · GK 1 Alisson Danilo Luiz · RB 13 Luiz Douglas Santos · LB 16 Santos Gabriel Magalhães · CB 3 Magalhães Marquinhos · CB 4 Marquinhos Lucas Paquetá · CM 20 Paquetá Rayan · RF 26 Rayan Casemiro · DM 5 Casemiro Vinícius Júnior · LF 7 Júnior Bruno Guimarães · CM 8 Guimarães Matheus Cunha · CF 9 Cunha 🇯🇵 Japan
Zion Suzuki · GK 1 Suzuki Hiroki Itō · CB 21 Itō Takehiro Tomiyasu · CB 22 Tomiyasu Shōgo Taniguchi · CB 3 Taniguchi Ritsu Dōan · RM 10 Dōan Daizen Maeda · LF 11 Maeda Keito Nakamura · LM 13 Nakamura Junya Itō · RF 14 Itō Daichi Kamada · CM 15 Kamada Kaishū Sano · CM 24 Sano Ayase Ueda · CF 18 Ueda Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇷 Brazil 51.1% draw 25.6% 23.3% Japan 🇯🇵
Model P(result)
51.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#274
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.97
−log₂ P(observed)
Brazil's run D 🇲🇦 1–1 Morocco, Group W 🇭🇹 3–0 Haiti, Group W 🏴 3–0 Scotland, Group W 🇯🇵 2–1 Japan, Round of 32 L 🇳🇴 1–2 Norway, Round of 16 Japan's run D 🇳🇱 2–2 Netherlands, Group W 🇹🇳 4–0 Tunisia, Group D 🇸🇪 1–1 Sweden, Group L 🇧🇷 1–2 Brazil, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup