🇺🇾 Uruguay 1–0 Mexico 🇲🇽

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €130M · value #13 · Elo #12

1–0Uruguay win

value €88M · value #16 · Elo #8

Model P(result)

30.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.73

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1879 vs 1924

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup