🇺🇾 Uruguay 1–0 Mexico 🇲🇽
2010 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇺🇾 Uruguay value €130M · value #13 · Elo #12
Diego Forlán €22M Luis Suárez €20M Diego Godín €12M 1–0 Uruguay win
🇲🇽 Mexico value €88M · value #16 · Elo #8
Andrés Guardado €12M Rafael Márquez €9M Guillermo Ochoa €8M Goals
Uruguay ▲ Mexico ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Luis Suárez 43' 43 Suárez
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇺🇾 Uruguay
Fernando Muslera · GK 1 Muslera Maxi Pereira · RB 16 Pereira Diego Lugano · CB 2 Lugano Jorge Fucile · LB 4 Fucile Mauricio Victorino · CB 6 Victorino Diego Forlán · AM 10 Forlán Álvaro Pereira · LM 11 Pereira Diego Pérez · DM 15 Pérez Egidio Arévalo · RM 17 Arévalo Edinson Cavani · CF 7 Cavani Luis Suárez · CF 9 Suárez 🇲🇽 Mexico
Óscar Pérez · GK 1 Pérez Héctor Moreno · CB 15 Moreno Francisco Javier Rodríguez · CB 2 Rodríguez Carlos Salcido · LB 3 Salcido Ricardo Osorio · RB 5 Osorio Cuauhtémoc Blanco · AM 10 Blanco Giovani dos Santos · AM 17 Santos Andrés Guardado · LM 18 Guardado Rafael Márquez · CM 4 Márquez Gerardo Torrado · RM 6 Torrado Guillermo Franco · CF 9 Franco Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇺🇾 Uruguay 30.2% draw 26.7% 43.1% Mexico 🇲🇽
Model P(result)
30.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#180
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.73
−log₂ P(observed)
Uruguay's run D 🇫🇷 0–0 France, Group W 🇿🇦 3–0 South Africa, Group W 🇲🇽 1–0 Mexico, Group W 🇰🇷 2–1 South Korea, Round of 16 D 🇬🇭 1–1 Ghana, Quarter-final L 🇳🇱 2–3 Netherlands, Semi-final L 🇩🇪 2–3 Germany, Third place Mexico's run D 🇿🇦 1–1 South Africa, Group W 🇫🇷 2–0 France, Group L 🇺🇾 0–1 Uruguay, Group L 🇦🇷 1–3 Argentina, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.