🇨🇭 Switzerland 1–0 Spain 🇪🇸

2010 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €104M · value #14 · Elo #19

1–0Switzerland win

value €650M · value #1 · Elo #1

Model P(result)

4.3%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

4.54

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

349

1762 vs 2111

Stage

Group

2010 World Cup