🇩🇪 Germany 3–2 Uruguay 🇺🇾
2010 World Cup · Third place. tournament · tables
🇩🇪 Germany value €290M · value #7 · Elo #5
Mario Gómez €28M Philipp Lahm €25M Bastian Schweinsteiger €24M 3–2 Germany win
🇺🇾 Uruguay value €130M · value #13 · Elo #12
Diego Forlán €22M Luis Suárez €20M Diego Godín €12M Goals
Germany ▲ Uruguay ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Thomas Müller 19' 19 Müller Marcell Jansen 56' 56 Jansen Sami Khedira 82' 82 Khedira Edinson Cavani 28' 28 Cavani Diego Forlán 51' 51 Forlán
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇩🇪 Germany
Hans-Jörg Butt · GK 22 Butt Per Mertesacker · CB 17 Mertesacker Jérôme Boateng · RB 20 Boateng Arne Friedrich · CB 3 Friedrich Dennis Aogo · LB 4 Aogo Sami Khedira · DM 6 Khedira Bastian Schweinsteiger · DM 7 Schweinsteiger Mesut Özil · AM 8 Özil Thomas Müller · RW 13 Müller Cacau · CF 19 Cacau Marcell Jansen · LW 2 Jansen 🇺🇾 Uruguay
Fernando Muslera · GK 1 Muslera Diego Lugano · CB 2 Lugano Martín Cáceres · LB 22 Cáceres Diego Godín · CB 3 Godín Jorge Fucile · RB 4 Fucile Diego Pérez · CM 15 Pérez Egidio Arévalo Ríos · CM 17 Ríos Diego Forlán · CF 10 Forlán Maxi Pereira · RW 16 Pereira Edinson Cavani · LW 7 Cavani Luis Suárez · CF 9 Suárez Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇩🇪 Germany 57.0% draw 24.3% 18.7% Uruguay 🇺🇾
Model P(result)
57.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#308
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.81
−log₂ P(observed)
Germany's run W 🇦🇺 4–0 Australia, Group L 🇷🇸 0–1 Serbia, Group W 🇬🇭 1–0 Ghana, Group W 🏴 4–1 England, Round of 16 W 🇦🇷 4–0 Argentina, Quarter-final L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Semi-final W 🇺🇾 3–2 Uruguay, Third place Uruguay's run D 🇫🇷 0–0 France, Group W 🇿🇦 3–0 South Africa, Group W 🇲🇽 1–0 Mexico, Group W 🇰🇷 2–1 South Korea, Round of 16 D 🇬🇭 1–1 Ghana, Quarter-final L 🇳🇱 2–3 Netherlands, Semi-final L 🇩🇪 2–3 Germany, Third place
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.