🇩🇪 Germany 3–2 Uruguay 🇺🇾

2010 World Cup · Third place. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €290M · value #7 · Elo #5

3–2Germany win

value €130M · value #13 · Elo #12

Model P(result)

57.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.81

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

140

2042 vs 1902

Stage

Third place

2010 World Cup