🇺🇾 Uruguay 2–1 England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €218M · value #10 · Elo #10

2–1Uruguay win

value €334M · value #7 · Elo #7

Model P(result)

29.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.75

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1849 vs 1897

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup